Hokkaido Scallops Supply Crunch: Production Plunges 22% as Export Prices Hit Record Highs
Hokkaido scallops face a deepening crisis in 2026 – here’s what buyers need to know
The global scallop market is watching Hokkaido scallops more closely than ever. Japan’s premier scallop-producing region – the Okhotsk coast – has posted alarming numbers for the 2026 season. As of the end of July, cumulative landings reached just 113,431 metric tons, a 22% year-on-year drop and only 53% of the annual target. This marks the second consecutive year of declining catches for Hokkaido scallops, tightening raw material supply and sending export prices through the roof.
If you import, process, or trade Hokkaido scallops, this is not a blip – it’s a structural shift that will define pricing and availability for the next 12 to 18 months.
Why Hokkaido scallops are becoming more expensive
The Okhotsk production area splits into two sub-regions, both of which are contracting:
- Northern Soya area: 50,261 tons landed, down 17% year-on-year
- Southern Kitami area: 63,170 tons landed, down 25% year-on-year
The simultaneous decline in both core zones has drastically reduced the total volume of Hokkaido scallops available for processing and export. While July 2026 saw a modest 3% monthly recovery (about 54,400 tons), fisheries cooperatives are split on whether this rebound will hold. Soya expects to exceed its target, but Sarufutsu projects a 10–20% shortfall due to slower scallop growth.
This supply tightness directly pushed up landing prices for raw Hokkaido scallops – recent settlements range from ¥300 to over ¥500 per kilogram ($2.00–$3.30/kg), a 30–60% jump from last year.
Export prices for Hokkaido scallops skyrocket
The most significant impact is on export markets. For frozen scallop adductors (known locally as “Yurei”) – the flagship product of Hokkaido scallops – exports have fallen for two straight years. In the first half of 2026, Japan exported 5,705 tons of frozen adductors, down 14% year-on-year, but the average export price soared to ¥5,005/kg ($32.3/kg) – a 29% increase and nearly double the H1 2024 level.
Breaking it down by destination:
🇺🇸 United States – paying top dollar for Hokkaido scallops
The US remains the No.1 market for frozen Hokkaido scallop adductors. H1 2026 exports to the US reached 918 tons at a value of ¥7.03 billion ($45.4 million). The average price hit **¥7,657/kg ($49.4/kg)**, up from ¥6,020/kg a year ago.
In June alone, US-bound shipments surged 39% year-on-year to 131 tons, with an average price of ¥7,753/kg ($49.7/kg) – a staggering 72% increase over June 2025.
🇻🇳 Vietnam – the giant buyer of frozen-in-shell Hokkaido scallops
Not all Hokkaido scallops go as adductors. Frozen in-shell exports tell a different story: H1 2026 volumes rose 28% to 10,855 tons, and average prices climbed from ¥577/kg to ¥617/kg ($4.00/kg) – nearly double the H1 2024 price of ¥295/kg.
Vietnam now absorbs about 80% of Japan’s frozen in-shell Hokkaido scallops, importing 8,708 tons worth ¥5.33 billion ($34.4 million) in H1 2026. Prices to Vietnam averaged ¥612/kg, up from ¥565/kg last year.
Tokyo wholesale prices reflect a new pricing era
A Tokyo-based distributor noted that while orders for frozen adductors continue, the panic-buying frenzy has cooled. The most popular export grades are S to 3S, while large 2L-grade Hokkaido scallops are entering a softer phase.
Current Tokyo primary wholesale prices (per kilogram):
| Grade | Price (¥/kg) | Price (USD/kg) |
|---|---|---|
| 3S | 7,000–7,100 | $45–46 |
| S | 8,500 | $55 |
| M | 8,200 | $53 |
| L | 8,500 | $55 |
The traditional size-based pricing hierarchy has broken down – specific grades now command premiums based on buyer demand, rather than size alone.
What’s next for Hokkaido scallops?
Market participants expect high prices to persist. Although frozen adductor prices briefly touched ¥10,000/kg earlier and have since eased, levels remain far above historical averages. Some traders anticipate softer prices for boiled scallops, in-shell products, and Chinese small scallops, but trading volumes are thin as buyers wait for the final season tally.
For global buyers, the message is clear: Hokkaido scallops will remain expensive and relatively scarce throughout 2026 and into 2027.
Implications for Chinese processors and traders
The supply crunch for Hokkaido scallops has two direct effects on China’s scallop industry:
- Higher raw material costs – importing Japanese in-shell scallops for reprocessing becomes more expensive, squeezing margins.
- A competitive window – with Japanese adductor prices at record levels, Chinese value-added scallop products (prepared, preserved, breaded, etc.) gain a price advantage in Japan and other markets that traditionally prefer Japanese origin.
Savvy Chinese exporters are already repositioning their product mixes to fill the gap left by expensive Hokkaido scallops, offering alternative grades and processed formats at competitive price points.
Final takeaway
The 2026 Hokkaido scallop season is shaping up to be a turning point for the global scallop trade. Production down 22%, export prices up 29% – and the US, Vietnam, and Japan’s own wholesale market are all feeling the impact.
Whether you’re a buyer, processor, or trader, staying ahead of the Hokkaido scallops market means monitoring catch data, grade-specific pricing, and shifting trade flows in real time.
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